Let us take a hypothetical example.
Is there a better solution?
Does this suggestion meet the spirit of carbon trading?
Conclusion
Carbon Trading is, in my opinion, iniquitous.
Imagine three identical carbon producers, 1, 2 and 3, let's say
coal-fired power stations on the same grid, which emit n tonnes of CO2
each. They have a target to reach 0.8. n tonnes. Nos. 1 & 2 invest heavily
in plant and reduce emissions down to 0.75.n and 0.65.n respectively. No. 3
does nothing but buys 0.05.n from no. 1 and 0.15.n from no. 2. He continues
to blithely produce n tonnes. So, altogether, the three producers generate
2.4.n, averaging 0.8.n for the three, so the target has been met - or has
it?
No. 1's investment was such that it was able to reduce his CO2
emissions by 25 percent and no. 2 by 35 percent. Who pays for this? Their
consumers, of course. But, in a liberalised market, their electricity is too
expensive, as a result, the investment being very heavy to achieve these
results. No. 3 continues to produce cheap electricity, so it runs at full
capacity, while nos. 1 and 2 can sell theirs' only when the offered price is
high, at times when the demand is high. Therefore, the overall emissions
are, in reality, higher than 0.8.n.
However, no. 3 pays nos. 1 and 2 for the carbon it emits. But the price
of carbon in emissions trading is far too low to make a significant
difference to the cost of no. 3's electricity and certainly does not cover
the millions that nos. 1 and 2 have paid for their improved plant.
The problem does not stop there. When coal is burnt, carbon dioxide is
not the only pollutant produced. Sulfur dioxide, a main cause of "acid rain"
is another major pollutant. Then there are fly ash, heavy metal gases,
including mercury and lead, and radioactive compounds etc. The equipment for
reducing CO2 emissions also reduces these other pollutants. So,
nos. 1 and 2 contribute towards clean air in other respects, while no. 3
churns out all these other poisons, at full capacity, unhindered, because he
has not needed to invest. These are probably worse for mankind than the
potential climate change effects from the CO2 emissions.
I'll grant you that this is an over-simplification of a complex
situation, but you will no doubt get the gist of what I'm driving at.
Probably, yes. First of all, scrap carbon trading which is heavily
bureaucratic, anyway, and does not really serve any useful purpose except to
give those unwilling or unable to invest a licence to pollute. It would be
better to play on the price of electricity and to fine no.3 the difference
in price between his selling price on a free market and that of his
competitors, nos. 1 and 2. This would then level the playing field and the
latter would become equally competitive. The proceeds of the fines would, in
time, then allow no. 3 to invest in the equipment needed to reduce his CO2
emissions. Notwithstanding, the average of nos. 1, 2 and 3 would still have
to at least meet the 0.8.n tonnes CO2 target; if they do better,
so much to the good and benefit of mankind.
Possibly not, at least entirely. But it better meets the best
requirements of the world at large (pollution knows no frontiers!). The
notion of carbon trading had, behind it, the possibility of electricity
producers in developing countries being able to keep producing cheap
electricity while more developed countries could afford to pay more. In
other words, the developed countries would subsidise the less developed ones
with cheap electricity, at the cost of themselves suffering the cost of the
extra pollution. If the richer and poorer countries happen to share the same
grid, such as between W. and E. Europe or between the industrialised and
agricultural States of the USA or between different Asian nations, my idea
would no longer open the money-tap for the heavier polluters who would be
working on a competitive, free market. However, there is also a way to
prevent consumers from paying excessive costs for their energy in the poorer
countries in the short term. That is to allocate initially, say, 50 per cent
of the fines to subsidies for consumed electricity through the distributors,
reducing the percentage progressively over a number of years. This means it
may take somewhat longer for no. 3 to convert his plant.
The big disadvantage of my idea is that there is a risk that it could
become heavily bureaucratic unless measures were taken to keep it slim. This
is best achieved by promulgating the rules in the simplest way - and to keep
the management as far away from top-heavy organisations in Brussels,
Washington or any other major Western city while taking all the necessary
safeguards against corruption.
Carbon Trading is, in my opinion, iniquitous. There must be better ways
of reducing CO2 emissions from power plant.